Janice Tjen vs Anna KalinskayaWashington Round of 16

Washington · WTA · Round of 16
#37WTA
1658ELO
1684Hard ELO
$818kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 2nd on
#21WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$7.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWL
Tjen J.
6-1 3-6 6-7
Kalinskaya A.
Tjen J.
63671
Kalinskaya A.
16792

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Janice Tjen in the Round of 16 at the Washington tournament, coming back from a set down to win 1-6, 6-3, 7-6. Kalinskaya hit 6 aces and 13 double faults, while converting 50% of her break points. Tjen had 12 aces and 3 double faults, converting 40% of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Even
51%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
75
Break points saved·Dominant
84
38
Break points won·Slight edge
85
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
92
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tjen J.35%
Kalinskaya A.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kalinskaya A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1684
Surface ELO
7.2+178 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1658
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1907
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
6.5Won 75% in Usa (24)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
88

Tjen J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw