Pavlos Tsitsipas vs R. JonesM15 Dublin Round of 16

M15 Dublin · ITF · Round of 16
#1027ATP
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#1253ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Tsitsipas P.
4-6 6-4 3-6
Jones R.
Tsitsipas P.
4631
Jones R.
6462

R. Jones defeated Pavlos Tsitsipas 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Dublin hard court tournament. Jones served one ace and committed five double faults, while Tsitsipas served nine aces and committed four double faults. Jones converted 27% of break points and broke Tsitsipas' serve three times, compared to Tsitsipas' two service breaks and 22% break point conversion rate.

Key context

  • Match story: R. Jones closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Dominant
49%
75%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
73%
Return points won·Clear edge
34%
52%
Break points saved·Dominant
64%
100%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Tsitsipas P.33%
Jones R.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jones R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.81 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 8
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Jones R.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
16°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw