Emerson Jones vs Mananchaya SawangkaewVancouver Quarter-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#131WTA
1671ELO
1664Hard ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#105WTA
1696ELO
1657Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
Jones E.
3-6 2-6
Sawangkaew M.
Jones E.
320
Sawangkaew M.
662

Mananchaya Sawangkaew defeated Emerson Jones 6-3, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the Vancouver hard-court tournament. Sawangkaew hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, winning 83% of her first serves and converting 45% of break points. She won 5 service breaks to Jones' 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Jones E.36%
Sawangkaew M.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sawangkaew M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+7 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1657
4.7Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1696
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
82

Jones E.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sawangkaew M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw