Kristina Liutova vs Maya JointMemphis Round of 16

Memphis · WTA · Round of 16
#129WTA
1681ELO
1592Hard ELO
16 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
#67WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLW
Liutova K.
3-6 6-3 6-3
Joint M.
Liutova K.
3662
Joint M.
6331

Kristina Liutova advanced to the quarterfinals of the Memphis tournament with a three-set win over Maya Joint in the Round of 16. Liutova recovered from a first-set loss to take the match 3-6, 6-3, 6-3. Liutova converted 50% of her break points and won five service breaks to Joint's three.

Around the match

  • The 16-year-old made her WTA Tour debut against top seed Alexandrova but was left in tears when her opponent collapsed and retired due to heat illness.

    Liutova K.The Guardian

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
52%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Liutova K.44%
Joint M.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
5.8+65 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on hard
10.013-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in Usa (43)
Country comfort
5.7Won 62% in Usa (37)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 10 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
85

Liutova K.: 17 days rest · Joint M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw