Nao Hibino vs Mananchaya SawangkaewVancouver Round of 16

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#225WTA
1560ELO
1523Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 4th on
#105WTA
1696ELO
1657Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
Hibino N.
1-6 6-3 2-6
Sawangkaew M.
Hibino N.
1621
Sawangkaew M.
6362

Mananchaya Sawangkaew defeated Nao Hibino in the Round of 16 at the Vancouver hard-court tournament, winning 6-1, 3-6, 6-2. Sawangkaew hit 5 aces and 5 double faults, winning 75% of her first serves and converting 29% of break points. She won 5 service breaks to Hibino's 2.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-23BeijingQ64hardMananchaya Sawangkaew6-2 6-7(5) 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
23
84
Break points saved·Dominant
6
74
Break points won·Slight edge
86
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
97
Tiebreaks·
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Hibino N.18%
Sawangkaew M.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sawangkaew M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1523
Surface ELO
6.7+134 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1696
3.4Trails 1–3 on hard
H2H
6.6Leads 3–1 on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Hibino N.: 21 days rest · Sawangkaew M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw