Carles Hernandez vs M. L. Alvarez SarmientoM15 Xativa Round of 16

M15 Xativa · ITF · Round of 16
#766ATP
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
ESP
M. L. Alvarez Sarmiento
#1566ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
Hernandez C.
7-5 6-4
Alvarez Sarmiento M.
Hernandez C.
762
Alvarez Sarmiento M.
540

Carles Hernandez defeated M. L. Alvarez Sarmiento 7-5, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Xativa tournament. Hernandez and Alvarez Sarmiento were even in aces with zero each. Hernandez committed four double faults, while Alvarez Sarmiento had one; Hernandez won 58% of his first serves compared to 61% for Alvarez Sarmiento.

Key context

  • Match story: Carles Hernandez edged M. L. Alvarez Sarmiento in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Hernandez C.Alvarez Sarmiento M.
1st serve in·Even
66%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Hernandez C.64%
Alvarez Sarmiento M.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hernandez C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Alvarez Sarmiento M.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw