Arthur Gea vs Michael ZhengLos Cabos Round of 16

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 16
#85ATP
1597ELO
1610Hard ELO
$359kYTD
$611kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#110ATP
1695ELO
1672Hard ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Gea A.
0-6 6-4 6-0
Zheng M.
Gea A.
0662
Zheng M.
6401

Arthur Gea advanced to the quarterfinals of the Los Cabos tournament with a three-set win over Michael Zheng in the Round of 16. Gea recovered from a first-set loss to take the match 0-6, 6-4, 6-0. In the match, Gea hit four aces to Zheng's two and converted five service breaks to Zheng's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Even
6.1
5.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Gea A.52%
Zheng M.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1610
Surface ELO
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1596
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1695
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
59

Gea A.: 16 days rest · Zheng M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 108 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 95%

Draw