Arthur Nagel vs Axel Garcian — M15 Strasbourg Round of 16
M15 Strasbourg · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
Nagel A.7-5 6-3
Garcian A.
Nagel A.
762
Garcian A.
530
Arthur Nagel defeated Axel Garcian 7-5, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Strasbourg clay court tournament. The match was part of the event's main draw. Nagel advanced with the win.
Key context
- Match story: Arthur Nagel closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-23 | M15+H Bagnoles de l'Orne 1 | R16 | clay | Axel Garcian | 6-2 6-0 |
| 2024-10-23 | M25 Sarreguemines 1 | R32 | carpet | Arthur Nagel | 6-2 5-7 7-6(4) |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
43%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCNagel A.59%
Garcian A.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Nagel A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
Surface form
1.31 of last 7 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0Lost last 7
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 36%