A. Fabre vs Amaury RaynelM15 Strasbourg Round of 16

M15 Strasbourg · ITF · Round of 16
#1129ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#900ATP
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Fabre A.
4-6 4-6
Raynel A.
Fabre A.
440
Raynel A.
662

Amaury Raynel advanced to the quarterfinals of the M15 Strasbourg tournament with a 6-4, 6-4 victory over A. Fabre in the Round of 16. Raynel and Fabre were even in aces with zero each, but Raynel had more double faults, 3 to 1. Raynel won 72% of his first serves, compared to 46% for Fabre, and converted 56% of his break points to Fabre's 60%, with Raynel securing 5 service breaks to Fabre's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Amaury Raynel edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
72%
1st serve points won·
64%
2nd serve points won·
40%
Service points won·
58%
Return points won·
34%
Break points saved·
22%
Aces / match·
1.0
Double faults / match·
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Fabre A.40%
Raynel A.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Raynel A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.03 of last 8 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw