Weronika Ewald vs Alexa NoelW50 Dublin Round of 16

W50 Dublin · ITF · Round of 16
#413WTA
1387ELO
1312Hard ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#812WTA
23 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLLL
Ewald W.
6-1 3-6 4-6
Noel A.
Ewald W.
6341
Noel A.
1662

Alexa Noel defeated Weronika Ewald in the Round of 16 at the W50 Dublin tournament, coming back from a set down to win 1-6, 6-3, 6-4. Noel served 7 aces to Ewald's 4 and hit 2 double faults to Ewald's 6. Both players converted 40% and 67% of their break points, respectively, and each won 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
62%
1st serve points won·
61%
2nd serve points won·
41%
Service points won·
53%
Return points won·
46%
Break points saved·
57%
Aces / match·
2.9
Double faults / match·
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Ewald W.68%
Noel A.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ewald W. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ewald W.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw