Cameron Norrie vs James DuckworthLos Cabos Round of 16

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 16
#35ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#86ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$488kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
Norrie C.
6-4 6-4
Duckworth J.
Norrie C.
662
Duckworth J.
440

Cameron Norrie advanced to the quarterfinals of the Los Cabos tournament by defeating James Duckworth 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16. Norrie converted 40% of his break points and secured four service breaks, while Duckworth converted 50% of his break points and secured two service breaks. Norrie had four aces and three double faults, compared to Duckworth's six aces and five double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Cameron Norrie edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
73%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.3
8.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
24
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
92
Break points won·Dominant
84
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
21
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Norrie C.69%
Duckworth J.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Norrie C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.5+197 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1592
7.5Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1628
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
71
78

Norrie C.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Duckworth J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw