Sebastian Dominko vs Oliver TarvetM25 Aldershot Round of 16

M25 Aldershot · ITF · Round of 16
#1118ATP
23 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#380ATP
1490ELO
1460Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
Dominko S.
3-6 1-6
Tarvet O.
Dominko S.
310
Tarvet O.
662

Oliver Tarvet advanced to the quarterfinals of the M25 Aldershot tournament with a 6-3, 6-1 victory over Sebastian Dominko in the Round of 16. Tarvet hit 5 aces and 3 double faults, winning 81% of his first-serve points, while Dominko hit 1 ace and 1 double fault. Tarvet converted 62% of his break points and won 5 service breaks, compared to Dominko's 100% break point conversion and 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
80%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
78%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.6
9.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Dominko S.12%
Tarvet O.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tarvet O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.23 of last 5 on hard
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Tarvet O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw