Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele vs Francesca MattioliW35 Pergamino Round of 16

W35 Pergamino · ITF · Round of 16
#420WTA
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#858WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Maria Gonzalez Daniele J.
5-7 3-6
Mattioli F.
Maria Gonzalez Daniele J.
530
Mattioli F.
762

Francesca Mattioli defeated Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele 7-5, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the W35 Pergamino clay court tournament. Mattioli converted 50% of her break points, compared to 14% for Gonzalez Daniele, and won four service breaks to her opponent's two. Mattioli and Gonzalez Daniele were even in aces, with neither player hitting one, but Mattioli committed more double faults, seven to three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
41%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
49%
51%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.4
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
7.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Maria Gonzalez Daniele J.69%
Mattioli F.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Maria Gonzalez Daniele J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.85 of last 10 on clay
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw