Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Francesca CurmiW100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 16

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 16
#533WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#236WTA
1580ELO
1567Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Gallardo Guevara C.
1-6 4-6
Curmi F.
Gallardo Guevara C.
140
Curmi F.
662

Francesca Curmi defeated Carmen Gallardo Guevara 6-1, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas. Curmi converted 55% of her break points and secured six service breaks en route to the victory. She won 54% of her first-serve points, compared to 42% for Gallardo Guevara.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
78%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
53%
Return points won·Even
49%
50%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Gallardo Guevara C.15%
Curmi F.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Curmi F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.26 of last 8 on clay
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on clay
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw