Malaika Rapolu vs Kylie Collins — W75 Lexington Round of 16
W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 16
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
Rapolu M.6-3 3-6 1-6
Collins K.
Rapolu M.
6311
Collins K.
3662
Kylie Collins defeated Malaika Rapolu 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the W75 Lexington tournament. Collins hit 2 aces and 10 double faults, winning 58% of her first serves and converting 80% of break points. She won 8 service breaks to Rapolu's 5.
Key context
- Match story: Kylie Collins dropped the opening set before beating Malaika Rapolu 3–6 6–3 6–1.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-01-28 | W15 Cancun 3 | Q16 | hard | Kylie Collins | 4-6 6-1 10-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Return points won·Even
50%
51%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
48%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
12.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCRapolu M.71%
Collins K.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Rapolu M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H5.0First meeting on hard
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.44 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6Won 59% in Usa (91)
Country comfort5.0Won 50% in Usa (103)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 55%