Giulio Perego vs Tiago CacaoM25 Aldershot Round of 16

M25 Aldershot · ITF · Round of 16
#883ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#676ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
Perego G.
6-3 6-7 1-6
Cacao T.
Perego G.
66411
Cacao T.
37762

Tiago Cacao defeated Giulio Perego in the Round of 16 at the M25 Aldershot tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-1 in favor of Cacao. Cacao converted 70% of his break points and secured 7 service breaks, compared to Perego's 45% conversion rate and 5 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
67%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Perego G.41%
Cacao T.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cacao T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.23 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Perego G.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw