Edward Winter vs Jenson BrooksbyLos Cabos Round of 16

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 16
#355ATP
1434ELO
1404Hard ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#74ATP
1694ELO
1682Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Winter E.
3-6 4-6
Brooksby J.
Winter E.
340
Brooksby J.
662

Jenson Brooksby defeated Edward Winter 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Los Cabos tournament. Brooksby hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, while Winter had 2 aces and 0 double faults. Brooksby converted 40% of his break points and won 84% of his first-serve points, compared to Winter's 25% break point conversion and 63% first-serve win percentage.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
52%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Winter E.27%
Brooksby J.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Brooksby J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1404
Surface ELO
8.5+278 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1434
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
63
93

Winter E.: played today · 4 matches, 77 games (7d) · Brooksby J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw