Alevtina Ibragimova vs Lucia BronzettiTargu Mures Round of 16

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#218WTA
1508ELO
1472Clay ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#116WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Ibragimova A.
3-6 2-6
Bronzetti L.
Ibragimova A.
320
Bronzetti L.
662

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Alevtina Ibragimova 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Targu Mures clay court tournament. Bronzetti hit one ace and two double faults, winning 77 percent of her first serves and converting 75 percent of her break points. She won six service breaks to Ibragimova's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 52). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Ibragimova A.37%
Bronzetti L.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bronzetti L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1472
Surface ELO
6.7+133 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1508
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ibragimova A.: 20 days rest · Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw