Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan BoyerLos Cabos Round of 16

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 16
#25ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWWW
0 — 1
Sets
Retired
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#170ATP
1561ELO
1525Hard ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Cerundolo F.
6-7 4-3
Boyer T.
Cerundolo F.
6440
Boyer T.
7731

Francisco Cerundolo advanced to the quarterfinals of the Los Cabos tournament with a win over Tristan Boyer in the Round of 16. Boyer retired during the match, trailing 6-7, 4-3. Cerundolo hit 7 aces and 2 double faults, while Boyer had 0 aces and 4 double faults in the match.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
43
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
83
Break points won·Dominant
89
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
88
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Cerundolo F.73%
Boyer T.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cerundolo F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.4+355 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Hard Elo 1525
9.6Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
0.4Overall Elo 1561
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
77

Cerundolo F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Boyer T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw