Bryce Nakashima vs Karim BennaniM25 Edwardsville Round of 16

M25 Edwardsville · ITF · Round of 16
#881ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#450ATP
1327ELO
1349Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Nakashima B.
3-6 4-6
Bennani K.
Nakashima B.
340
Bennani K.
662

Karim Bennani advanced to the quarterfinals of the M25 Edwardsville tournament with a 6-3, 6-4 victory over Bryce Nakashima in the Round of 16. Bennani converted 44% of his break points and secured four service breaks en route to the win. Nakashima hit six aces but struggled with converting break points at a 14% rate.

Key context

  • Match story: Karim Bennani closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
54%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
30%
39%
Break points saved·Dominant
0%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.0
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Nakashima B.32%
Bennani K.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bennani K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
7.05 of last 7 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.5Won 59% in Usa (71)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Nakashima B.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw