Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo — Washington Round of 16

Washington · ATP · Round of 16
Terence Atmane
FRA
Terence Atmane
#45ATP
1704ELO
1674Hard ELO
$717kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 4th on
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI
Alejandro Tabilo
#29ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
Atmane T.
3-6 6-7
Tabilo A.
Atmane T.
3660
Tabilo A.
6782

Alejandro Tabilo advanced to the quarterfinals of the Washington tournament with a 6-3, 7-6 victory over Terence Atmane in the Round of 16. Tabilo recorded 11 aces and converted 50% of his break points, while Atmane was unable to capitalize on any of his break point opportunities. Tabilo won the match with 2 service breaks to Atmane's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Atmane T.Tabilo A.
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
30%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.0
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Atmane T.Tabilo A.
Clutch Rating·Even
40
37
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
93
Break points won·Even
23
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
39
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Atmane T.37%
Tabilo A.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tabilo A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Atmane T.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Tabilo A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1674
Surface ELO
6.0+76 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1819
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Atmane T.Tabilo A.
Freshness·Slight edge
74
83

Atmane T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw