Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaBonn Round of 16

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#208ATP
1511ELO
1490Clay ELO
25 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#281ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
Squire H.
2-6 6-7
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Squire H.
2650
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6772

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Henri Squire in the Round of 16 at the Bonn tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 7-6. Pucinelli De Almeida hit one ace and no double faults, while Squire had no aces and eight double faults. Pucinelli De Almeida converted 45% of break points and broke Squire's serve five times, compared to Squire's three breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
4.3
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
5
Break points saved·Dominant
87
36
Break points won·Dominant
12
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
11
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Squire H.51%
Pucinelli De Almeida M.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+86 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1404
6.2Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1412
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
55

Squire H.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
39°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 14%

Draw