Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Erika SemaW75 Lexington Round of 32

W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 32
#1148WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#490WTA
37 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLW
Schaefbauer M.
2-6 6-7
Sema E.
Schaefbauer M.
2640
Sema E.
6772

Erika Sema defeated M. Schaefbauer 6-2, 7-6 in the Round of 32 at the W75 Lexington tournament. Sema and Schaefbauer were even in first-serve win percentage at 62, but Sema converted five service breaks to Schaefbauer's three, and also had fewer double faults, 3 to 5. Sema did not hit an ace, while Schaefbauer had one.

Key context

  • Match story: Erika Sema closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
52%
74%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
80%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
56%
Return points won·Even
52%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
0.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Schaefbauer M.31%
Sema E.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sema E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw