Xiyu Wang vs Liudmila SamsonovaWashington Round of 16

Washington · WTA · Round of 16
#36WTA
1772ELO
1724Hard ELO
25 yrs · 182 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 1st on
#43WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Wang X.
2-6 2-6
Samsonova L.
Wang X.
220
Samsonova L.
662

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Xiyu Wang in the Round of 16 at the Washington tournament, winning 6-2, 6-2 on hard courts. Samsonova hit 7 aces to Wang's 2 and converted 57% of her break points, compared to Wang's 0%. Samsonova won 85% of her first-serve points and took 4 service breaks to Wang's 0.

Around the match

  • Samsonova delivered a remarkable comeback from 0-4 down in the third set despite 14 double faults, defeating heavy favourite Madison Keys.

    Samsonova L.Yahoo Sports

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-01WashingtonSFhardLiudmila Samsonova6-1 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
54%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
4
54
Break points saved·Dominant
40
73
Break points won·Dominant
33
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
37
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Wang X.53%
Samsonova L.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+0 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1723
5.0Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1775
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
71
65

Wang X.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Samsonova L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw