Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williams — Washington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
Anastasia Potapova
RUS
Anastasia Potapova
#25WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 5th on
Venus Williams
USAWC
Venus Williams
#615WTA
1654ELO
1617Hard ELO
46 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Potapova A.
6-3 6-3
Williams V.
Potapova A.
662
Williams V.
330

Anastasia Potapova defeated Venus Williams in the Round of 32 of the Washington hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3. Potapova converted 38% of her break points and won 95% of her first-serve points, while Venus Williams did not convert any of her break point chances. Potapova hit 2 aces to Williams' 1 and committed 3 double faults to Williams' 2.

Around the match

  • “We had a great time playing at Bad Homburg so we were looking forward to playing again. Didn't work out this time. Would love for there to be future times. We'll see what happens.”

    Williams V.Tennishead ↗

  • Venus returns to singles competition amid an 11-match losing streak, facing a challenging draw against world No. 28 Potapova in her Washington comeback.

    Williams V.Tennishead ↗

  • “I have no words because growing up, I was always looking at her and how she was winning all these tournaments, and now I'm playing against her. I'm super happy that I got a chance to play her.”

    Potapova A.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I just got more mature. I finally feel comfortable on tour. I've played all these tournaments several times already, and I got a little bit of experience under my belt.”

    Potapova A.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Potapova A.Williams V.
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
37%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.3
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Potapova A.Williams V.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
64
53
Break points saved·Even
49
53
Break points won·Even
90
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
26
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Potapova A.92%
Williams V.8%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Potapova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Potapova A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Williams V.
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+188 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1617
8.1Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.61 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 11
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Potapova A.Williams V.
Freshness·Slight edge
90
95

Potapova A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Williams V.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 87%

Draw