Kayo Nishimura vs Lexington Reed — W75 Lexington Round of 32

W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 32
JPN
Kayo Nishimura
#485WTA
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
USA
Lexington Reed
#934WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLW
Nishimura K.
2-6 4-6
Reed L.
Nishimura K.
240
Reed L.
662

Lauren Reed defeated Kayo Nishimura 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the W75 Lexington tournament. Reed hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, winning 72% of her first serves and converting 56% of break points. She broke Nishimura's serve 5 times, while Nishimura broke Reed's serve 2 times.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Nishimura K.Reed L.
1st serve in·
66%
—
1st serve points won·
56%
—
2nd serve points won·
48%
—
Service points won·
54%
—
Return points won·
46%
—
Break points saved·
52%
—
Aces / match·
0.8
—
Double faults / match·
1.1
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Nishimura K.81%
Reed L.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Nishimura K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nishimura K.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Reed L.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw