Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Washington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
Alex De Minaur
AUS1
Alex De Minaur
#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
Stefanos Tsitsipas
GREWC
Stefanos Tsitsipas
#49ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
De Minaur A.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Tsitsipas S.
De Minaur A.
6362
Tsitsipas S.
4631

Alex De Minaur defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament. De Minaur hit 4 aces and 8 double faults, winning 79% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points. He won 3 service breaks to Tsitsipas' 2, advancing in the competition.

Around the match

  • Tsitsipas back in Washington for first time since 2019 after two-year absence, drawn against top seed de Minaur in opening round.

    Tsitsipas S.rg.org ↗

  • “He's got a lot of weapons. He plays very free. He's going to be a dangerous player, for sure, and obviously I don't think he's too scared of the moment, which is something that's very important at a young age.”

    De Minaur A.World Tennis Magazine ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR64hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6
2024-05-06Rome MastersR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-1 6-2
2024-02-26AcapulcoQFhardAlex De Minaur1-6 6-3 6-3
2023-07-31Los CabosFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2023-04-17BarcelonaQFclayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-2
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-3
2022-02-07RotterdamQFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR16hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-7 7-6 6-2
2021-04-19BarcelonaR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-3
2021-02-02Atp CupRRhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-5
2019-10-28Paris MastersR16hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsFhardStefanos Tsitsipas2-4 4-1 4-3 4-3
2018-10-01TokyoR16hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 5-7 6-1
2017-05-01IstanbulQ1clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-2
2017-04-29IstanbulQ16clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Tsitsipas S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Even
69%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Tsitsipas S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
89
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
97
71
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
De Minaur A.64%
Tsitsipas S.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · De Minaur A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Tsitsipas S.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+133 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1802
6.6Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1833
3.9Trails 1–2 on hard
H2H
6.1Leads 2–1 on hard
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Tsitsipas S.
Freshness·Clear edge
66
85

De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Tsitsipas S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw