T. J. Leston vs Nicolas VillalonM15 Sao Paulo Round of 32

M15 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 32
#1724ATP
56 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
clay
#703ATP
1135ELO
1128Clay ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLWWL
Leston T.
4-6 1-6
Villalon N.
Leston T.
410
Villalon N.
662

Nicolas Villalon defeated T. J. Leston 6-4, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Sao Paulo tournament, played on clay. The match was part of the event's main draw. Villalon advanced with the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Leston T.62%
Villalon N.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Leston T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.83 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw