James Story vs Rhys LawlorM25 Aldershot Round of 32

M25 Aldershot · ITF · Round of 32
#563ATP
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#1550ATP
17 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWW
Story J.
6-7 6-3 6-3
Lawlor R.
Story J.
69662
Lawlor R.
711331

James Story defeated Rhys Lawlor in the Round of 32 at the M25 Aldershot tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 in favor of Story. Story hit 8 aces and 2 double faults, while Lawlor had 6 aces and 11 double faults; Story converted 56% of break points and broke Lawlor's serve 5 times, compared to Lawlor's 2 service breaks and 33% break point conversion.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
66%
1st serve points won·
54%
2nd serve points won·
56%
Service points won·
55%
Return points won·
36%
Break points saved·
54%
Aces / match·
4.4
Double faults / match·
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Story J.72%
Lawlor R.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Story J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Lawlor R.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw