M. Kumar vs Matt PonchetM15 Dublin Round of 32

M15 Dublin · ITF · Round of 32
#1426ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#784ATP
22 yrs · 196 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Kumar M.
3-6 1-6
Ponchet M.
Kumar M.
310
Ponchet M.
662

Matt Ponchet defeated M. Kumar 6-3, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Dublin hard court tournament. Ponchet hit 6 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Kumar had 1 double fault. Ponchet converted 56% of his break points and broke Kumar's serve 5 times en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
79%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
50%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Return points won·Even
30%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Kumar M.29%
Ponchet M.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ponchet M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
88

Kumar M.: 17 days rest · Ponchet M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw