Maiko Uchijima vs Hayu KinoshitaVancouver Round of 16

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#1436WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT ARTEMIS GOLD · 1st on
#223WTA
1546ELO
1531Hard ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLLWW
Uchijima M.
2-6 6-4 7-5
Kinoshita H.
Uchijima M.
2672
Kinoshita H.
6451

Maiko Uchijima defeated Hayu Kinoshita in the Round of 16 at the Vancouver hard-court tournament. Uchijima won 2-6, 6-4, 7-5. In the match, Uchijima hit 7 aces and 7 double faults, winning 74 percent of her first-serve points, converting 42 percent of break points, and breaking serve 5 times; Kinoshita had 1 ace and 9 double faults, winning 60 percent of her first-serve points, converting 100 percent of break points, and breaking serve 5 times.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
73%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
40%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Clear edge
42%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Break points saved·Dominant
0%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Uchijima M.16%
Kinoshita H.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kinoshita H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
100

Uchijima M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Kinoshita H.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw