Zeynep Sonmez vs Elvina KalievaMemphis Round of 16

Memphis · WTA · Round of 16
#50WTA
1800ELO
1730Hard ELO
$806kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#120WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
Sonmez Z.
6-3 5-7 5-7
Kalieva E.
Sonmez Z.
6551
Kalieva E.
3772

Elvina Kalieva defeated Zeynep Sonmez 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the Memphis hard-court tournament. Kalieva hit 5 aces and 8 double faults, winning 61 percent of her first serves and converting 44 percent of her break points. She won 8 service breaks to Sonmez's 7.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
18
Break points saved·Clear edge
14
28
Break points won·Slight edge
94
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
36
Tiebreaks·
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Sonmez Z.67%
Kalieva E.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sonmez Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+190 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1540
7.9Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1569
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.3Won 54% in Usa (156)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
94

Sonmez Z.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Kalieva E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw