Jack Pinnington Jones vs Toby SamuelVancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#177ATP
1557ELO
1547Hard ELO
$226kYTD
$568kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 4th on
#113ATP
1745ELO
1729Hard ELO
$217kYTD
$332kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Pinnington Jones J.
5-7 1-6
Samuel T.
Pinnington Jones J.
510
Samuel T.
762

Toby Samuel defeated Jack Pinnington Jones in the Round of 32 of the Vancouver hard-court tournament, winning 7-5, 6-1. Samuel served 6 aces and committed 4 double faults, while winning 87% of his first-serve points and converting 57% of his break points. He secured 4 service breaks to Pinnington Jones' 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Toby Samuel came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Pinnington Jones J.21%
Samuel T.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Samuel T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1547
Surface ELO
7.3+181 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1557
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
10.010 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Pinnington Jones J.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw