Mai Hontama vs Jia Jing Lu — Vancouver Round of 16

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Mai Hontama
JPN
Mai Hontama
#171WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 3rd on
CHN
Jia Jing Lu
#389WTA
1346ELO
1313Hard ELO
36 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Hontama M.
6-3 6-3
Jing Lu J.
Hontama M.
662
Jing Lu J.
330

Mai Hontama defeated Jia Jing Lu in the Round of 16 at the Vancouver hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3. Mai Hontama hit 0 aces and 3 double faults, while Jia Jing Lu had 1 ace and 2 double faults. Mai Hontama converted 50% of her break points and won 7 service breaks, compared to Jia Jing Lu's 4 service breaks and 50% break point conversion.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Hontama M.Jing Lu J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Hontama M.Jing Lu J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
29
14
Break points saved·Clear edge
27
40
Break points won·Clear edge
96
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
28
12
Tiebreaks·
68
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Hontama M.62%
Jing Lu J.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hontama M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hontama M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Jing Lu J.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+128 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1313
6.7Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1346
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hontama M.Jing Lu J.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Hontama M.: 18 days rest · Jing Lu J.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw