Polona Hercog vs Laura PigossiW100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 32

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 32
#234WTA
1590ELO
1574Clay ELO
35 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
clay
#194WTA
1478ELO
1453Clay ELO
32 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLL
Hercog P.
1-6 3-6
Pigossi L.
Hercog P.
130
Pigossi L.
662

Laura Pigossi defeated Polona Hercog 6-1, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas. Pigossi did not hit an ace but converted 83 percent of her break points, securing five service breaks in total. Hercog had three double faults and won only 48 percent of her first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
10
39
Break points saved·Slight edge
25
19
Break points won·Clear edge
73
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
67
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Hercog P.70%
Pigossi L.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hercog P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+120 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1453
6.4Overall Elo 1590
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1478
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.15 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw