Keaton Hance defeated Naoya Honda 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Edwardsville tournament. Hance converted 50% of his break points, compared to 11% for Honda, and won 78% of his first-serve points to 59% for his opponent. Hance secured four service breaks to Honda's one en route to the win.
No previous meetings on record.
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clear favourite · Honda N. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About