Sebastian Gorzny vs Maxwell ExstedM25 Edwardsville Round of 32

M25 Edwardsville · ITF · Round of 32
#782ATP
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLW
0 — 1
Sets
Retired
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#962ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLWLW
Gorzny S.
1-6 0-2
Exsted M.
Gorzny S.
100
Exsted M.
621

Maxwell Exsted advanced to the next round of the M25 Edwardsville tournament with a win over Sebastian Gorzny in the Round of 32. Gorzny retired during the match, trailing 6-1, 2-0. Exsted had converted 57% of his break points and won 93% of his first-serve points in the match.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
74%
1st serve points won·
65%
2nd serve points won·
62%
Service points won·
64%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
63%
Aces / match·
1.0
Double faults / match·
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Gorzny S.66%
Exsted M.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gorzny S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.93 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.6Won 60% in Usa (43)
Country comfort
4.6Won 43% in Usa (21)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Gorzny S.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw