Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta CocciarettoWashington Round of 16

Washington · WTA · Round of 16
#28WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$922kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 3rd on
#60WTA
1805ELO
1773Hard ELO
$555kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLW
Navarro E.
3-6 6-4 3-6
Cocciaretto E.
Navarro E.
3631
Cocciaretto E.
6462

Elisabetta Cocciaretto defeated Emma Navarro 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Washington tournament. Cocciaretto converted 46% of her break points and won six service breaks to Navarro's four. Cocciaretto hit one ace and four double faults, while Navarro had four aces and 10 double faults.

Around the match

  • Cocciaretto produced a dramatic comeback victory, losing the first set then winning consecutive tiebreaks to upset Tauson in a three-hour marathon.

    Cocciaretto E.Flashscore.com
  • Cocciaretto ended a four-match losing streak with a dramatic comeback victory, rallying from a set and break down against Tauson.

    Cocciaretto E.Last Word On Sports

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayElisabetta Cocciaretto3-6 3-6
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardElisabetta Cocciaretto6-4 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardEmma Navarro4-6 6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
71
25
Break points saved·Clear edge
45
23
Break points won·Slight edge
97
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
12
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
70
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Navarro E.68%
Cocciaretto E.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Navarro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
5.1+9 Hard Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1805
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
4.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in Usa (84)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
97

Navarro E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Cocciaretto E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 8 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw