M. Thomson vs L. A. Lage Castelan — M15 Huamantla 4 Round of 32
M15 Huamantla 4 · ITF · Round of 32
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
MEXL. A. Lage Castelan
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LL
Thomson M.6-4 6-7 7-5
Lage Castelan L.
Thomson M.
66572
Lage Castelan L.
47751
Matthew Thomson defeated Luis Alejandro Lage Castelan in the Round of 32 at the M15 Huamantla 4 tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-7, 7-5 in favor of Thomson. Thomson advanced with the win.
Key context
- Match story: M. Thomson edged L. A. Lage Castelan in three tight sets (6–4 6–7 7–5).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonThomson M.Lage Castelan L.
1st serve in·
56%
—
1st serve points won·
69%
—
2nd serve points won·
39%
—
Service points won·
56%
—
Return points won·
42%
—
Break points saved·
59%
—
Aces / match·
3.5
—
Double faults / match·
5.0
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCThomson M.59%
Lage Castelan L.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Thomson M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedLage Castelan L.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%