Shintaro Mochizuki vs Charles BroomVancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#112ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#289ATP
1409ELO
1396Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Mochizuki S.
2-6 6-2 6-4
Broom C.
Mochizuki S.
2662
Broom C.
6241

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Charles Broom in the Round of 32 at the Vancouver hard-court tournament, prevailing 2-6, 6-2, 6-4. Mochizuki converted 46% of his break points and won 67% of his first-serve points, compared to Broom's 38% and 56%, respectively. Mochizuki also secured 6 service breaks to Broom's 5.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
51%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
25
12
Break points saved·Even
60
56
Break points won·Dominant
68
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Mochizuki S.60%
Broom C.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mochizuki S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+29 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1396
5.8Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1409
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
91

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Broom C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw