Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin MoutetLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#74ATP
1694ELO
1682Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#60ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$739kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLL
Brooksby J.
6-4 6-4
Moutet C.
Brooksby J.
662
Moutet C.
440

Jenson Brooksby defeated Corentin Moutet in the Round of 32 of the Los Cabos tournament on hard courts, winning 6-4, 6-4. Brooksby served one ace and did not commit a double fault, while Moutet had six double faults. Brooksby converted 24% of his break points and won four service breaks to Moutet's two.

Key context

  • Match story: Jenson Brooksby edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR128hardCorentin Moutet6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
69
Break points saved·Even
90
91
Break points won·Clear edge
82
59
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Brooksby J.51%
Moutet C.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1682
Surface ELO
5.6+45 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1745
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
98

Brooksby J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Moutet C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw