Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes BaenaBonn Round of 16

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#415ATP
1300ELO
1289Clay ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
clay
MATCH COURT 2 · 1st on
#190ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWWLW
Wallin O.
6-3 1-6 6-1
Carballes Baena R.
Wallin O.
6162
Carballes Baena R.
3611

Olle Wallin advanced to the quarterfinals at the Bonn tournament with a three-set win over Roberto Carballes Baena in the Round of 16. Wallin took the match 6-3, 1-6, 6-1. In the match, Wallin hit 12 aces to Carballes Baena's 4 and won 4 service breaks to Carballes Baena's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Olle Wallin closed it out in three sets, 6–3 1–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Wallin O.38%
Carballes Baena R.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Carballes Baena R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.0Clay Elo 1289
Surface ELO
9.0+323 Clay Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1300
ELO gap
9.2Overall Elo 1632
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.98 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Wallin O.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw