Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Francesco FortiSan Marino Round of 16

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#87ATP
1681ELO
1668Clay ELO
$294kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#363ATP
1399ELO
1372Clay ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLL
Diaz Acosta F.
6-2 7-6
Forti F.
Diaz Acosta F.
6772
Forti F.
2630

Facundo Diaz Acosta defeated Francesco Forti 6-2, 7-6 in the Round of 16 at the San Marino tournament on clay. Both players hit three aces, with Diaz Acosta committing three double faults to Forti's one. Diaz Acosta converted 27% of break points and won 68% of first-serve points to advance.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
31
Break points saved·Slight edge
72
67
Break points won·Clear edge
16
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
4
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Diaz Acosta F.74%
Forti F.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Diaz Acosta F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.7+297 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Clay Elo 1372
8.5Overall Elo 1680
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1399
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Forti F.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw