Katrina Scott vs Ellie SchoppeVancouver Qualifying Final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#242WTA
1502ELO
1455Hard ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#760WTA
1138ELO
1143Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWWWW
Scott K.
6-7 6-7
Schoppe E.
Scott K.
65670
Schoppe E.
77792

E. Schoppe defeated Katrina Scott in the final of the Vancouver hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 7-6. Schoppe hit 5 aces and 5 double faults, winning 75 percent of her first serves, while converting 22 percent of break points and securing 2 service breaks. In comparison, Scott had 3 aces, 2 double faults, a 62 percent first-serve win rate, a 67 percent break point conversion rate, and 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Scott K.71%
Schoppe E.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Scott K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Scott K.: 21 days rest · Schoppe E.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw