Julieta Pareja vs Xiyu WangWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#290WTA
1506ELO
1452Hard ELO
17 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 1st on
#36WTA
1772ELO
1724Hard ELO
25 yrs · 182 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLLW
Pareja J.
6-7 3-6
Wang X.
Pareja J.
6330
Wang X.
7762

Xiyu Wang defeated Julieta Pareja in the Round of 32 of the Washington tournament on hard courts, winning 7-6, 6-3. Wang hit 8 aces and 4 double faults, winning 69% of her first serves and converting 44% of break points. Pareja hit 2 aces and 6 double faults, winning 55% of her first serves and converting 25% of break points; she secured 3 service breaks to Wang's 4.

Around the match

  • Hailey Baptiste suffered a torn ACL and meniscus injury against Wang at Roland Garros in May, ending her career-best season and requiring surgery.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Xiyu Wang closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
76%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
54%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
0.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Pareja J.24%
Wang X.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Wang X. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1452
Surface ELO
8.4+272 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1506
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1772
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.5Won 75% in Usa (40)
Country comfort
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
75

Wang X.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw