Thiago Monteiro vs David Jorda SanchisSan Marino Round of 32

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#274ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 5th on
#187ATP
1545ELO
1551Clay ELO
$66kYTD
$242kCAREER
32 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWWW
Monteiro T.
7-5 7-5
Jorda Sanchis D.
Monteiro T.
772
Jorda Sanchis D.
550

Thiago Monteiro defeated David Jorda Sanchis 7-5, 7-5 in the Round of 32 at the San Marino tournament on clay. Monteiro hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, while Jorda Sanchis hit 9 aces and 0 double faults. Monteiro won 83% of his first-serve points and converted 43% of his break points, securing 3 service breaks to Jorda Sanchis' 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
38
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
79
Break points won·Clear edge
10
23
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Monteiro T.65%
Jorda Sanchis D.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Monteiro T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+3 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Clay Elo 1551
5.3Overall Elo 1568
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1545
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.76 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Monteiro T.: 15 days rest · Jorda Sanchis D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw