Trevor Svajda vs Jakub MensikWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#383ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 4th on
#16ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLLWL
Svajda T.
2-6 7-6 3-6
Mensik J.
Svajda T.
27731
Mensik J.
66562

Jakub Mensik defeated Trevor Svajda in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, winning 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 on hard courts. Mensik hit 11 aces to Svajda's 3 and converted 21% of break points, while Svajda did not convert any. Mensik won 84% of first-serve points to Svajda's 66%, and he broke Svajda's serve three times en route to the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Jakub Mensik closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
11.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Svajda T.13%
Mensik J.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mensik J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1450
Surface ELO
10.0+442 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1485
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.5Won 75% in Usa (53)
Country comfort
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
62

Svajda T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Mensik J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw