Michele Mecarelli vs Vladyslav OrlovM25 Bolzano Round of 32

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
#965ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#432ATP
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
Mecarelli M.
4-6 5-7
Orlov V.
Mecarelli M.
450
Orlov V.
672

Vladyslav Orlov defeated Michele Mecarelli 6-4, 7-5 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Bolzano clay court tournament. Orlov hit two aces to Mecarelli's one and converted five service breaks to Mecarelli's three. Orlov won 57% of his first serves, while Mecarelli won 65%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Mecarelli M.25%
Orlov V.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Orlov V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Mecarelli M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw