Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien — Washington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
Adrian Mannarino
FRA
Adrian Mannarino
#52ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$644kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
Learner Tien
USA5
Learner Tien
#12ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Mannarino A.
7-5 6-4
Tien L.
Mannarino A.
762
Tien L.
540

Adrian Mannarino defeated Learner Tien in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, winning 7-5, 6-4 on hard courts. Mannarino converted both break points he faced, while Tien was unable to convert any. Mannarino served 5 aces to Tien's 7, but had fewer double faults, 1 to 4, and a higher first-serve win percentage, 88 to 78.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Mannarino A.Tien L.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mannarino A.Tien L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
91
Break points saved·Even
91
92
Break points won·Clear edge
71
88
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Mannarino A.17%
Tien L.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tien L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mannarino A.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Tien L.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1647
Surface ELO
8.2+257 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1941
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.8Won 79% in Usa (73)
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mannarino A.Tien L.
Freshness·Dominant
95
56

Mannarino A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Tien L.: played today · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw