Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy PaulWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#68ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
$617kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLL
Majchrzak K.
7-5 7-6
Paul T.
Majchrzak K.
7772
Paul T.
5640

Kamil Majchrzak defeated Tommy Paul in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, winning 7-5, 7-6 on hard courts. Majchrzak converted 18% of break points and secured two service breaks, while Paul converted all his break points and secured one service break. Majchrzak served eight aces and committed two double faults, compared to Paul's 10 aces and four double faults.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-07-22AtlantaQ2hardKamil Majchrzak7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
56%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
6.6
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Dominant
21
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Majchrzak K.22%
Paul T.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Paul T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1739
Surface ELO
6.8+142 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1948
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
93
51

Majchrzak K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw